Tuesday, July 15, 2008

MN Senate

Last night it was reported that former Independent Governor Jesse Ventura would NOT run for the senate. This is undoubtable good news for Al Franken as Ventura would have split the independent vote and turned the race into a circus.

There are two new polls in Minnesota that seem to be polling different states entirely. One poll showed the following:

Franken- 44
Coleman- 42

However, another poll showed a much different race:

Coleman- 52
Franken- 39

Why the disparity in polls? This is a pattern in polling for this race. One possible explanation is that the latter poll has consistently showed Obama with a narrow lead in MN, while the first polling company has shown Obama with a wide lead that has been confirmed by other polls. Since the poll uses the same methodology for presidential and senate polls, the latter polling company's methodology is probably more favorable to Republicans.

Who do you think is actually ahead in this race?

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